Manchester City’s Outcome percentage.
Outcomes for Premiership are:
1: Champions (1 team)
2-5: Champions League place (4 teams)
6-7: Europa/Conference League place (1-3 teams)
8-10: Top half (3 teams)
11-27: Bottom half (7 teams)
18-20: Relegation (3 teams)

Percentage outcome, position and points for Manchester City’s
Comparing historical outcomes verses probs4.club's calculations
historical data from all top tier 20 team seasons, from 1988/9

Manchester City’s percentage outcome by points.
Percentages based on very low occurrences (far left or right) are likely to be 'inaccurate'

Manchester City’s percentage position by points.
Percentages based on very low occurrences (far left and/or right) are likely to be 'inaccurate'

Points percentiles over time.
note: Min & Maxs are as observed in 10000 simulation runs.

Position percentiles over time.
note: Min & Maxs are as observed in 10000 simulation runs.

Historical progress
since 1981/2 (3pts for win), showing 30 seasons max.
including min & max for each tier.
label = season_tier_points/played_position (pts & pos ignoring any point deductions)

Historical progress matching current pts/played
from all 20 team seasons since 1988/9, max 30 series displayed
priority to team and more recent seasons, but includes min & max points.
label = team_season_tier_points_position (pts & pos ignoring any point deductions)