Derby County’s Outcome percentage.
Outcomes for League 1 are:
1-2 Automatic promotion (2 teams)
3-6 Playoff place (4 teams)
7-12 Top half (6 teams)
13-20 Bottom half (8 teams)
21-24 Relegation (4 teams)

Percentage outcome, position and points for Derby County’s
Comparing historical outcomes verses probs4.club's calculations
historical data from all efl completed 24 team seasons since start of 3pts for win (1981/2)

Derby County’s percentage outcome by points.
Percentages based on very low occurrences (far left or right) are likely to be 'inaccurate'

Potential playoff opponents,
Only show if playoff chance > 1%

Derby County’s percentage position by points.
Percentages based on very low occurrences (far left and/or right) are likely to be 'inaccurate'

Points percentiles over time.
note: Min & Maxs are as observed in 10000 simulation runs.

Position percentiles over time.
note: Min & Maxs are as observed in 10000 simulation runs.

Historical progress
since 1981/2 (3pts for win), showing 30 seasons max.
including min & max for each tier.
label = season_tier_points/played_position (pts & pos ignoring any point deductions)

Historical progress matching current pts/played
all 24 team completed seasons since 1981/2 (since 3pts for win), max 30 series displayed.
priority to team, tier and more recent seasons, but including min & max points from each tier.
label = team_season_tier_points_position (pts & pos ignoring any point deductions)