Harrogate’s Outcome percentage.
Outcomes for League 2 are:
1-3 Automatic promotion (3 teams)
4-7 Playoff place (4 teams)
8-12 Top half (5 teams)
13-22 Bottom half (10 teams)
23-24 Relegation, to National League (2 teams)

probs4.club’s position distribution for Harrogate

Historical progress matching current pts/played
all 24 team completed seasons since 1981/2 (3pts for win)

Stacked percentage for Harrogate’s outcome, position and points

Distribution of Harrogate’s outcome by points.

Harrogate’s percentage outcome by points.
Percentages based on very low occurrences (far left or right) are likely to be ’inaccurate’

Distribution of Harrogate’s position by points.

Harrogate’s percentage position by points.
Percentages based on very low occurrences (far left and/or right) are likely to be ’inaccurate’

Position %, over time.

Points percentiles over time.
Might not be the most informative chart, note: Min & Maxs are as observed in 10000 simulation runs.

Position percentiles over time.
Might not be the most informative chart, note: Min & Maxs are as observed in 10000 simulation runs.

Historical progress
since 1981/2 (3pts for win), showing 30 seasons max.
including min & max for each tier.
label = season_tier_points/played_position (pts & pos ignores any point deductions)